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Prediction markets

18 active markets · category “Business”

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)
0 (0 bps)75%
1 (25 bps)
1 (25 bps)19%
11 more
$29.3MVol.business
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX
SpaceX94%
xAI
xAI28%
72 more
$1.99MVol.business
US bank failure by May 31?

US bank failure by May 31?

3%

chance

YesNo
$12KVol.business
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

1%

chance

YesNo
$3.35MVol.business
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

December 31, 2026
December 31, 202625%
March 31, 2026
March 31, 20261%
1 more
$2.85MVol.business
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Google
Google84%
OpenAI
OpenAI48%
12 more
$20KVol.business
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

80-90B
80-90B28%
70-80B
70-80B23%
8 more
$141KVol.business
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

KeyBank
KeyBank22%
BMO
BMO12%
17 more
$23KVol.business
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

40%

chance

YesNo
$111KVol.business
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

CME
CME99%
LedgerX
LedgerX99%
7 more
$112KVol.business
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?

How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?

400k–425k
400k–425k33%
425k–450k
425k–450k26%
7 more
$47KVol.business
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

23%

chance

YesNo
$55KVol.business
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