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Prediction markets
17 active markets
· category “Iran”
How it works
By volume
Closing soon
Newest
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
83%
July 31
73%
5 more
$163.9M
Vol.
iran
Iran ceasefire continues through...?
May 24
99%
May 27
99%
9 more
$19.7M
Vol.
iran
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$43.5M
Vol.
iran
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?
Oil Sanction Relief
70%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
58%
2 more
$5.08M
Vol.
iran
Israel closes its airspace by...?
June 15
25%
June 30
24%
2 more
$2.32M
Vol.
iran
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
28%
chance
Yes
No
$691K
Vol.
iran
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$781K
Vol.
iran
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$1.69M
Vol.
iran
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$217K
Vol.
iran
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
0-10
66%
10-20
22%
3 more
$543K
Vol.
iran
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$1.27M
Vol.
iran
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$685K
Vol.
iran
