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Prediction markets
12 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
By volume
Closing soon
Newest
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$87K
Vol.
science
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1
28%
Yes
No
2
74%
Yes
No
$2.88M
Vol.
science
Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?
1800
99%
Yes
No
1900
99%
Yes
No
$108K
Vol.
science
Precipitation in Seoul in May?
150-160mm
48%
160mm+
39%
6 more
$6.2K
Vol.
science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?
220-230mm
39%
240mm+
39%
6 more
$42K
Vol.
science
How many SpaceX launches in May?
≤8
1%
Yes
No
9
25%
Yes
No
$2.6K
Vol.
science
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$606K
Vol.
science
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$7.8K
Vol.
science
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$106K
Vol.
science
Natural Disaster in 2026?
30%
chance
Yes
No
$220K
Vol.
science
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$10K
Vol.
science
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
36%
chance
Yes
No
$286.88
Vol.
science
